After I wrote the below note, I thought about it some more and decided I wanted to see what other people thought about the topic, as well. So I posted it on Metafilter, where hopefully there will be some discussion of the issue.
Neil Howe and William Strauss have written a series of books (really, the same book rehashed three times, but who’s counting?) on generational cycles — Generations, 13th Gen, and The Fourth Turning. In the first and third of these books, they discuss at length their theory that we are due for a “fourth turning” in the first part of the 21st century: a catalyst event that causes an extreme change in public mood, causing us to go through a decade or two of crisis. For example, the 1929 stock market crash was a catalyst, and the Depression and WWII were the crisis time.
Whether you agree with them or not, it’s interesting to read that Strauss and Howe have posted their thoughts on whether this is the fourth turning they predicted on their web site forum. What do you think?
More fallout from 9/11: Major League Baseball is implementing new security policies.
Osama bin Laden’s family in Dubai don’t think much of him, either. I guess he’s the “black sheep” of the bin Laden clan. They have expressed their sorrow over Tuesday’s attacks, and they condemn violence and terrorism.